Early brief: “Deliver a shiny new light rail through Sydney’s CBD. Easy. Everyone loves trams.” Translation: scope unclear, assumptions heroic, risks buried under PowerPoint. ​ They signed a PPP anyway. ​ The CBD & South East Light Rail (CSELR) looked great on slides. A 12-km network. Wrapped in a neat PP. Design, build, finance, operate, maintain. ​ The promise: reliable transport, urban sparkle, political selfies. ​ But, as usual, then construction met reality. ​ The contract drawings and utilities data were “indicative,” the ground was… not. ​ Every time someone dug, something unexpected showed up, i.e. old electricity pits, water lines, the archaeological record of a century of “we’ll map it later.” ​ The D&C contractor said the client side misrepresented the complexity and sued for A$1.1bn. That fight ended with the State paying A$576m and a revised PPP. “Market testing” had quietly become contract re-writing. ​ Meanwhile, the public got construction chaos, business disruption, and years of delay. Enough to trigger a class action by affected. Everybody forgets about collateral damages. ​ Audit reports later called out inconsistent cost updates and poor transparency to the public. Translation: the public paid first and learned the details later. ​ And of course… “Delivered” ≠“Delivered What Was Needed” The line eventually opened and runs today. But the original user promise morphed through variations, carve-outs, and re-baselines. The classic PPP hangover: you get what’s written, not what people thought they asked for. And once the asset is live? Every change is surgery. ​ Unclear Scope at Tender = Expensive Clarity Later. In PPPs, ambiguity doesn’t disappear; it migrates into claims, variations, and settlements, precisely, dear agencies, when your bargaining power is lowest. ​ As-Built Reality Beats As-Bid Fiction. Utilities, interfaces, access windows, heritage, traffic management… if they’re “TBD” at bid, they’ll be “$$$$” at operations. Court filings and media records are a museum of “we didn’t know that.” ​ Once Operational, Changes Scale 1:1. Too expensive. Need to tweak headways, stops, maintenance windows, systems? In a long-term PPP, the meter is always running. ​ So, if your scope is fuzzy at tender, don’t kid yourself with “we’ll sort it out in delivery.” In PPPs, sorting it out in delivery translates to: lawyers, variations, and a politely worded press release about “re-baselined value.” ​ Lock the need. Prove the ground truth. Price the uncertainty. Or the public will buy a tram line and a lawsuit. ​ You want to avoid traps like this one? Start with the basics and click below. ​Don't be embarrassed. ​ ​ PD 1: If you liked this email, don't keep it in secret and forward it to a friend. They will thank you enormously one day. PD 2: If somebody has sent you this email and you want to receive emails like this yourself, visit vicentevalencia.com PD 3: If you want unsubscribe, click the link below. ​ ​ |
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In a meeting. Not long ago. Something cost 15 one month ago, and then… now it costs only 10… No matter if I’m talking about millions or billions. It’s the same. This is what crossed my mind… Do you want an award? Or… a pat in your back? Or being fired? The question to you. What would you do? Well… in my case, I wanted to be polite, be positive and constructive and all that sh*t that MBAs teach around the world. So I just said politely. “If that’s true, you should be fired”. Yeah… I had to...
It was the early 2000s. In Disunited Kingdom the formerly known as UK. The government wanted to rebuild hundreds of schools. Big dream. Big politics. Usual suspects. Of course, as per the playbook, before launching the program, they ran a market-testing exercise to “hear the voice of the private sector.” Lovely. And the market said what the market always says: “Of course, I can, it’s possible. I cannot be fired or lose my bonus… so, I confirm that we can design, build, finance, and maintain...
I have 4 airbnb apartments in Auckland. 3 perfoming well. 1 slagging. Quien no llora no mama or who does not cry, he is not breastfeed, or less literally, if you don't cry, you don't get fed. I sent an email. What’s going on? I’m disappointed. What I can do to help. In 48 hours or less, the calendar in the slagging apartment is full. No response, just facts. Like magic… back on track. This situation is not unusual. In my 20 years managing projects and people, I’ve seen this almost every day....