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“If you don’t find a way to make money while you sleep, you will work until you die.” – Warren Buffet. OK, I see that some people got mixed up with the time zones… This is what happens when you travel around the world! Extension of one day more. One single day more. Not two, not five... just one. Buy it now, or miss it forever. I repeat. Forever. ​Invest better than 99% of people... including fund managers​ PD 1: If you liked this email, don't keep it in secret and forward it to a friend. They will thank you enormously one day. PD 2: If somebody has sent you this email and you want to receive emails like this yourself, visit vicentevalencia.com PD 3: If you want unsubscribe, click the link below. |
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“I’m a PPP freak.” That’s what I told a client last week. Then I killed the deal in 30 minutes. “But this is not a PPP project.” No model. No workshops. No 200-page reports. Just experience. Because after you’ve seen enough projects, the disasters, the political theatre, the “too good to be true” bids… you start seeing patterns. Fast. You don’t need months. You need clarity. 30 minutes is enough to know: if a project is bankable… or dead on arrival if the contract creates value… or prints...
2012 Kenya. Elections coming. Security concerns rising. Investors… nervous. And still… The Lake Turkana Wind Power Project pushed toward financial close. 310 MW. One of the largest wind farms in Africa. Remote. Very remote. No proper roads. Weak grid. Logistics… borderline insane. Ideas such as domesticate zebras on the table… This wasn’t a project. This was a bet. And the closing? Just what I love… Pure tension. Lenders asking for more guarantees. Sponsors juggling political risk. Government...
That’s how many countries approach infrastructure. Big pipeline. Big announcements. Zero learning. Norway did the opposite. Smart those guys. In the early 2000s, they tested PPPs with just three projects: E39 Klett–Bårdshaug (opened 2005) E39 Lyngdal–Flekkefjord (opened 2006) E18 Grimstad–Kristiansand (opened 2009) That’s it. Three shots. Not fifteen. Not a political fireworks show. A controlled experiment. Same model. Same timeframe. Comparable results. And guess what? They delivered. On...